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Textile And Clothing Industry: Grasp The Annual Quotes &Nbsp; Wait For The Dawn.

2012/4/6 21:55:00 19

TextilesClothingQuotations

Weekly market review and views


This week, Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen stock index and Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 rose 0.22%, 0.25% and 0.14% respectively.

Everbright textile and garment sector rose 2.05%, of which textile and clothing sectors rose 3.01% and 1.27% respectively.

From the perspective of stocks, the 11 year growth rate exceeds the expected growth rate, such as the search for special (002503) (11 year net profit increased by 91.42% over the same period), and yeco Technology (002036) (11 year net profit increased by 60-70%) weekly gain of 16.53% and 13.83% respectively.


Data of MOFCOM this week: thousands of key retail enterprises in January

Apparel Retailing

The volume increased by 13.3% over the same period last year, slowing by 6.8 percentage points compared with 11 in December.

The Ministry of Commerce has clearly stated that it is studying new measures to promote consumption policies and stabilize exports.


A website announced that the retail sales of 50 key retail enterprises increased by 10.58% compared with the same period last year, and the growth rate slowed down 27.38 and 26.89 percentage points compared with the 09 and 06 years of the Spring Festival in January. Among them, the middle end department stores and strong chain department stores (steady growth) performed significantly better than high-end department stores (negative growth).


We believe that the slowdown in the growth rate of clothing retail sales in January is more complicated. The 50 major retail enterprises mainly reflect the retail situation of department stores. According to the research, 11 years stores and other channels will be better than department stores. In recent years, compared with 06 and 09 years, with the increase of residents' income and the change of consumption habits, tourism festivals are becoming more and more popular (12 years of spring festival tourism increased by 14.90%VS06 compared with 13.50% in 09 years), so the total retail sales volume of the first month or 1-3 months after the festival is more significant.


In the short term, it is suggested that attention should be paid to the stocks that exceed expected performance, and the winter export processing enterprises that are benefiting from the cold current in Europe.


Generally speaking, we believe that the downstream replenishment is basically over, and the upstream textile manufacturing stock market has also been reflected. It is recommended that wait-and-see is the main industry, and static industries will obviously turn a good signal.


  

Brand clothing

Although the valuation of the company has already had the margin of safety, it still needs to wait for the catalyst to appear: 1) the brand clothing ordering meeting data in 3-5 months exceed the market expectation; 2) the cold current continues, the stock level of the terminal winter clothing has dropped significantly, and the franchisee has regained confidence; 3) the state has promulgated a new consumption policy and stable export measures that are workable, which really benefit the residents.

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