Hongyuan Securities: Textile Industry Will Soon Usher In A Spring Of Recovery.
Hongyuan securities The latest textile industry annual report released in 2012 shows that the industry is expected to usher in the industry in 2012 from the aspects of cost side, demand side and macro environment. recovery The spring.
First, Cost side Improvement: raw materials in 2011 Price surged and plummeted. The history of the past has become the past. In 2012, the price of raw materials such as cotton will show a trend of bottom concussion, which will play a positive role in the smooth completion of the inventory, production and operation of the industry. Secondly, demand side is stabilized again: the decrease of raw material cost will help to ease the restraining effect of excessive price of terminal clothing on demand, and the future terminal price is expected to be adjusted, and the form of volume premium is more conducive to the improvement of downstream demand.
Moreover, the macro environment tends to be loose: the recent price drop and the reduction of the deposit rate all release a positive signal, that is, the macro environment will become more relaxed in 2012, and the improvement of the economic situation and the improvement of the credit environment will help to accelerate the recovery process of the industry.
The report pointed out that the recession of the textile industry does not mean that there is no investment value at all. Instead, at the bottom of the industry boom, look for those investment targets whose value is relatively high, business earnings growth is better than market expectations, and the value of investment is dragged down by the general trend. After the industry gets warmer, it is expected to get higher return on investment than the market. The catalyst for the start of the textile sector in the future is the confirmation of the bottom of cotton price and the trend of rebound. The two is that the concerns of the poor export situation in Europe and America are effectively alleviated.
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