Silk Development Needs To Be "Stable".

In Sichuan, Guangxi, etc.

In the late Qing Dynasty, relying on the strong implication of Chinese ancient silk, Hu Xueyan of Zhejiang made a major decision in the international trade of cocoon and silk. His vigorous "order" Silk patriotic action was in full swing. At that time, the status of Chinese silk was like the sun in the world, and who gave it to me.

But we can not help sighing about the current cocoon and silk market. We still have the most in terms of output. We still have the best in terms of quality, but in terms of price and export market, our cocoon and silk industry is gloomy in an instant.

The huge Chinese Cocoon and silk industry has more than 80% of the world's output. It has the best quality silk in the world, but the pricing power is still not in our hands.

Why?

In 2010, the cocoon and silk industry went through the peak period in the industry. At the end of the year, silk price once reached 410 thousand yuan / ton. At that time, people shouted that the cocoon and silk industry was developing towards a deformed direction.

Sure enough, after experiencing the peak, the price of raw silk goes down all the way, and "down" is endless. By November this year, the price of cocoon silk has dropped to about 300 thousand yuan / ton.

And now, cocoon silk market is still in turmoil, strong support is still not, the market outlook is still bearish.

The author and the entrepreneurs of Sichuan Antai cocoon silk company and Guangxi silk group have discussed the factors affecting the cocoon silk market and the general trend of the future market.

From these discussions, it is not hard to see that the consumer market is still the most important factor in the cocoon and silk industry, and stable prices and stable consumption are still very important.

Guangxi silk business people told me that the biggest problem in the cocoon and silk industry is the economic crisis in Europe and the United States, which has led to a decline in consumption level in Europe and the United States and a reduction in consumption power, and thus the export of silk products has been severely hit.

Our renminbi has been rising against the US dollar, but in fact, for the enterprises, the renminbi has been in a state of devaluation.

Cocoon and silk products are mainly exported to Europe and the United States market, the settlement is calculated in US dollars, and the India contract is also calculated in US dollars, which is a great blow to our exports.

In the domestic consumer market, people do not have the idea of silk consumption.

Clothing, electronic products, beer and skittles, we must not frown, but when it comes to the consumption of silk products, it is very low. Domestic consumers rarely consume silk clothing, silk home textiles and other products.

When the European and American market is shrinking, we can only rely on domestic consumption and hope that domestic consumption can be more powerful, so that the possibility of turning the silk industry will be great.

Sichuan Antai cocoon silk thinks that the price of dried cocoon has little effect on cocoon silk, and the price of cocoon silk mainly comes from downstream consumption.

We usually produce more than 4A grade silk, and the quality is better. But now it is clear that the price has been weak. Even if the price is quoted, it can only wander between 330 thousand yuan / ton ~34 million yuan / ton.

From the above, we can see that the pricing power of cocoon silk is not in our hands! Though we are the boss of this industry.

In addition to the different consumption concepts, brand culture can not be ignored. "Hangzhou silk", an ancient term, was registered as a cultural symbol not long ago, not to mention other silk industries.

After the ups and downs of 2010 ~2011, we should ponder the question: why is the cocoon silk market so turbulent? The so-called Xiao He also defeated Xiao He. In the final analysis, the stability and turbulence of the industry are closely related to our whole industry.

Some phenomena in the cocoon silk industry are indeed puzzling from the observation.

Many people just like to rise and do not like falling. They think that it is wrong to continue to rise only to the industry.

The ups and downs of the market can only hurt the whole industry, and the stability of the industry can achieve healthy development.

Look at the market in 2011, we can easily find that in the process of rising prices, it is often in the front of the stock market, even if the disk is down, the spot remains stationary for a long time, which will create a bad result for the futures decline.

From the discussion with enterprises, the author also roughly drew the stable price area of the cocoon silk industry.

On the whole, the whole cocoon and silk industry is concerned.

300 thousand yuan ~33 million yuan / ton, in this interval, the price of cocoon silk is relatively reasonable.

This price is good for silk mills, silk mills and silkworm farmers.